Scenario Planning as a Learning Discipline: From Arie de Geus to National Seeing
The text outlines a systematic approach to scenario planning, aimed at fostering organizational learning and preparedness rather than merely predicting outcomes. It details steps from identifying dominant futures to surfacing hidden assumptions, constructing scenarios, and translating them into behavioral graphs, ultimately identifying recurring archetypes and leverage points. This process is designed to reduce unexpected crises and improve strategic decision-making over time.
Systems Thinking Research & Leadership Development Institute (STRLDi) 